will Humanity's Last Exam fall this month? (score >80%)
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19
Ṁ13kFeb 28
3%
chance
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ALL
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if the best AI performance on either the multimodal or the text-only version of the Last Exam is >80% by end-of-month. Resolves NO otherwise.
All AI systems qualify, including Deep Research type systems.
Will resolve based on the best score on the chart on lastexam.ai or similar (i.e. this question resolves based on the best score shared with the public)
Background
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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