Will Buzz Aldrin get re-married on the Moon?
9
174Ṁ670
Dec 31
5%
chance

Market context
Moon
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

he's been married four times, including once in his 90s

I think base rates and all that suggest this is somewhat likely

People are also trading

Will someone perform a wedding ceremony on the moon by the end of 2030?
5% chance
Will there be a wedding on the moon before a funeral on the moon?
74% chance
Will someone perform a wedding ceremony on the moon by the end of 2040?
41% chance
Will a human set foot on the moon again via Artemis 3 or another mission before Pi Day 2026? (March 14th)
1% chance
When the first person dies on the moon, will an attempt be made to return their remains to Earth?
60% chance
In what year will two humans have sex on the moon?
Will the next person to set foot on the moon be a woman?
41% chance
Will a human set foot on the moon whilst at least one human to have previously done so is still living?
36% chance
Will Biden live to see a human walk on the moon again?
19% chance
Will a human step foot on the moon in 2026?
1% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy