Will a company started by me have a valuation of at least ten million USD by the year 2026?
➕
Plus
22
Ṁ13k
2025
10%
chance

Will be resolved by Manifold moderators based on evidence I submit to them.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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Can't vote without LinkedIn

@RanaG if you had my real name all you would see is my poker winnings, my physiognomy, and a couple ultra-boring philosophy essays. No LinkedIn ATM although I'll have to make one for another market.

bought Ṁ10 YES

I believe in you :)

bought Ṁ5 YES

Anyone betting 'no' on this at 5% is likely to end up with an ear full of cider, @ElliotDavies.

Perhaps link your LinkedIn?

@ElliotDavies I don't have one. Didn't graduate high school, have no other qualifications, have never founded a business of any kind, have never been employed. Am in my early 20s.

bought Ṁ300 NO

@jim Thanks for sharing so candidly. How strong is your motivation to create a business?

@ElliotDavies I am motivated to do cool AI stuff

@jim Nice! One last question, what city are you based at currently?

opened a Ṁ5 YES at 5% order

@ElliotDavies I'm in New Zealand.

@jim Nice, thanks for sharing. The bad news is my base rate odds would be really low. Probably below 1%. The good news is you can update me really quickly with 10 hours or 100 hours of work. Registering a business, finding cofounders, creating some sort of business plan, making a webiste. All of these things - even done on their own - would bump your odds up really quickly

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