Which of NVIDIA, Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft will have the largest market cap at 2026 EOY?
11
250Ṁ643
resolved Jan 4
ResolvedN/A
64%
NVIDIA
14%
Apple
20%
Alphabet
2.0%
Microsoft

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Resolved N/A due to critical error in title. Fixed version here: https://manifold.markets/jim/which-of-nvidia-alphabet-apple-and-ulyZPpzLhE?r=amlt

bought Ṁ10 NO

Polymarket gives NVIDIA around 50 percent chance. https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-december-2026

bought Ṁ100 YES

I'm new at this, so maybe I'm confused. Isn't this already known, with 2025 over? Am I missing something obvious? (Edit: if this market is meant to be about EOY 2026, could you N/A this and create a new market?)

@SacredChicken Oops, it's about 2026. No one has bet since you made your bets, so maybe just adjust your positions accordingly? Happy to n/a if that doesnt work out for you though

@jim Thanks. Cleanest to N/A if you don't mind - the market has moved. Sorry! I will bet on the new 2026 market as well, at some point.

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