Will the Alphabet and Microsoft market cap differ by at least a factor of 3 in 2030?
29
1kṀ1033
2030
42%
chance

These two companies currently seem to be competing in many key areas such as artificial intelligence, search engines etc. I'm curious if you believe they can continue to grow together at comparable rates or if there will be a "winner takes all" situation in these fields.

Currently Alphabet has a market cap of 1.75T USD and Microsoft 3.00T USD. So the current factor is 3.00/1.75 = 1.71. The resolution will be determined by taking the market cap of these two companies on the first market open in 2030 (and dividing the larger value by the smaller value). If the number is greater than 3 or either company no longer exists the market will Resolve YES. Otherwise it will resolve NO.

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