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MANIFOLD
Kimi K2 rank 5 or better on LMArena?
14
Ṁ100Ṁ1.1k
resolved Jul 17
Resolved
YES

BACKGROUND

RES CRITERIA

resolves YES if Kimi K2's rank is 5 or better on https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard

Market context
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#TraderTotal profit
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2Ṁ80
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5Ṁ31
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bought Ṁ623 YES

not sure why opus 4 isn't tied for 5 but it doesn't matter anyway

@jim embarrassing result for Anthropic

@AffineTyped also, fantastic result for Moonshot.

And shoutout to @jim for making this market at the perfect splitting-point

bought Ṁ40 YES

boughtṀ9NO

the bot knew exactly what the correct probability was wtf