Will there be a large-scale bird flu outbreak in the US by the end of 2025?
Plus
28
Ṁ30972026
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Defined as 100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases as reported on https://www.cdc.gov/flu/avianflu/avian-flu-summary.htm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Link in description 404s, should probably be https://www.cdc.gov/bird-flu/situation-summary/index.html?CDC_AA_refVal=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cdc.gov%2Fbird-flu%2Fphp%2Favian-flu-summary%2Findex.html
which lists 53 human cases
@nic_kup To be more accurate I am looking for something like: in years where there were >10 cases of birdflu what is the likelihood of >100 cases?
Related questions
Related questions
Will someone die from or with H5N1 Bird Flu in America in 2024?
24% chance
Will there be a large-scale bird flu outbreak in the US in 2024? (100+ cases)
11% chance
Will H5N1 have spread to multiple pig farms in 2024?
Will an America die of H5N1 in 2024?
27% chance
Will there be an avian flu pandemic before 2026?
28% chance
With the third human case of H5N1 Bird Flu reported in US, how many human cases will be confirmed in 2024?
Will the US federal government declare a public health emergency regarding the H5N1 avian influenza virus in 2024?
35% chance
Will there be 100 or more human cases of H5N1 by the end of 2024?
49% chance
Will there be more than 10 laboratory-confirmed human deaths from H5N2 by the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will 25 or more states be affected by H5N1 by the end of March 2025?
73% chance