Will someone get canceled for a league chat message made on Manifold by the end of 2024?
Basic
7
Ṁ1091Jan 1
1.7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1. Cancellation is defined as a large-scale public shaming campaign leading to some form of de-platforming.
2. Cancellation applies to a person with a reasonably large public following.
3. Cancellation is signaled (sufficiently but not necessarily) by the person having to react to the situation publicly.
4. For this market: The proximate cause of the cancellation is a comment made on a Manifold league chat.
5. I reserve the right to make a final decision and will not count manipulation attempts towards a YES resolution.
Related markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will someone get canceled for a comment made on Manifold by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Who will be banned from Manifold at EOY 2024?
Will someone get canceled for a question asked on Manifold by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will someone get canceled for a position held on Manifold by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will a Manifold League Season “randomly” end before 9am in 2024?
11% chance
Will Manifold leak any private messages before the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will any Manifold staff member or moderator be arrested/punished for a misdemeanor or felony before 2025?
12% chance
Will any private message on Manifold be shared with the public without the consent of any of its participants by 2025?
10% chance
Will i get banned on Manifold before 2025?
4% chance
Will I get "canceled" for something I post on Twitter or Manifold by 2030?
15% chance