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MANIFOLD
Will any US brokerage support a third-party-operated user identity by the end of 2027?
5
Ṁ1kṀ1.1k
2027
62%
chance

Resolution Criteria

This question resolves YES if, on or before 2027-12-31, a US brokerage publicly supports a third-party-operated portable identity or credential system usable across brokerage relationships.

For resolution purposes:

  • The identity must:

    • be operated by an organization distinct from the brokerage;

    • persist across multiple brokerage relationships; and

    • enable authentication, authorization, delegated permissions, user preferences, or agent-related identity portability.

  • Support must be publicly documented and production-facing.

Qualifying implementations may include:

  • delegated agent authorization systems,

  • financial identity wallets,

  • portable investor credentials,

  • OAuth-style cross-platform agent identity layers,

  • verifiable credential frameworks,

  • or comparable interoperable identity systems.

Evidence may include:

  • developer documentation,

  • public product launches,

  • onboarding flows,

  • conference announcements,

  • or production integrations.

Fine Print

The following do NOT count:

  • Standard email or social login integrations;

  • Basic KYC providers;

  • Brokerage-internal account portability;

  • Data-export APIs without identity portability;

  • Aggregation products alone.

  • OAuth alone does not count unless it enables persistent cross-broker identity or delegated agent authorization.

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bought Ṁ750 YES

What about robinhood's opening to agentic usage?

@spiderduckpig Does not count.

It will count if Robinhood (or any US brokerage for that matter) accepts an identity issued by an outside party that also works at other brokerages.

Think Okta vs. OAuth for each product.
Or if you have the pleasure of dealing with federal services like me, ID.me vs. a login for each agency.
Or ORCID identity for academic services.

Etc.