Will a US entity force OpenAI to delete any mainline DALL-E models by the end of 2025?
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2025
22%
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Algorithmic disgorgement is a penalty the FTC agency can wield against companies that used deceptive data practices to build algorithmic systems. The punishment: They have to destroy ill-gotten data and the models built with it.


Will any US governmental institutions (e.g., a court following a lawsuit by individuals, the FTC, the United States Copyright Office, etc.) use this power to force OpenAI to delete at least one of the mainline DALL-E models?


The injunction must be given before this market closes to count toward a YES resolution. Whether OpenAI complies is irrelevant to the resolution.

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I created an extended timeline for the end of 2026 here, given that a lot of legal fights are just getting started: https://manifold.markets/jgyou/will-a-us-entity-force-openai-to-de-a9e051864963

Surely the OpenAI meltdown impacts this market somehow?

Wonder what part of the probability is due to Dall-E not being the most visible genAI model for images out there.

@jgyou no more!

This is a more general version of the following market: https://manifold.markets/jgyou/will-the-ftc-force-openai-to-delete-342dd31b6a2f


To my mind, the general question is more interesting, but I did not want to change the market after creating it...

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