Bird flu added to the WHO's list of emergencies this year?
18
1kṀ3337
Jan 1
31%
chance
4

This market resolves based on whether Avian influenza A (H5N1) appears on the WHO's official list of emergencies by the end of the year.

Resolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if bird flu/avian influenza appears as an active emergency on https://www.who.int/emergencies/situations or an equivalent URL.

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bought Ṁ100 NO

The definition, or operational threshold, for "emergency" is looser than the PHEIC definition used on other markets, so it's reasonable that the Yes percent for this market is higher. But the price looks very stale now, with only a few months left in 2025.

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