Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
18
Ṁ100Ṁ461Dec 31
11%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on the upcoming World Chess Championship. If the match is not played in 2026, it still counts as long as it is spiritually the same match (with the challenger determined by the 2026 Candidates Tournament) and market close will be extended.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
Will Gukesh win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
37% chance
Will Gukesh D win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
36% chance
Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
Will Fabiano Caruana ever become World Chess Champion?
21% chance
Will Fabiano Caruana become world chess champion by 2050?
21% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by 2031?
9% chance
Will Faustino Oro become world chess champion by 2040?
16% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen compete for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship before 2033?
11% chance