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MANIFOLD
In about a week, will Manifold be hosting at least 5 obvious spam markets with links to escort services?
11
Ṁ230Ṁ263
resolved Oct 27
Resolved
YES

Manifold is not great about removing spam, and there are a number of long-standing spam pages. Will this improve in the next week?


On Friday Oct 27 (Pacific time), I intend to look for Manifold markets/questions which are obviously just spam for escort services and which include external links. (If circumstances arise that make me unable to do this on Friday, I'll do it as soon as I practically can afterwards.) If I find at least 5 such markets, this resolves YES, otherwise NO.

If I believe that someone is spamming Manifold to manipulate this market, I may instead resolve N/A.

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I found 11 such spam markets with next to no effort (plus one market which itself did not have links, but which had a comment with links).

I'm not posting the list here because I don't want to add links to spam. If you want it for proof, message me on discord (and if you want a faster response, comment here to let me know, because I don't look at discord very often).

I can only find 2 after a cursory search so thinking this is overvalued

@Panfilo fwiw the exact term "escort service" doesn't need to appear as long as that's basically what the spam is for. not sure whether that impacts your results

predictedYES

Does it count if the market's delisted? Or if the market owner's banned?

@ArkPoint market owner banned definitely does not impact resolution. Delisting might influence the result (in the sense that it might be harder for me to find delisted markets), but if I can find a delisted market that qualifies, I'll still count it.

(If someone comments here with a bunch of delisted markets, I won't count that as "finding" them, I need to be able to discover the markets on my own. Similar things that seem to me like manipulation might also be excluded as "finding".)

@jcb I lost the link but there is a public report log where you can see markets that were reported and delisted