Will US regulators instruct Manifold to alter or cease activity before the end of 2024?
69
1.7kṀ16k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

This market resolves to YES if it is made public (including on the Manifold discord) that Manifold Markets has received communication from the CFTC, SEC, or any other regulator to the effect that that the whole of or any aspect of its operations or feature set must be changed or stopped, before the end of 2024.

This includes features that are not present today, e.g. if the option to redeem balance for gift cards is introduced after this market's creation and then communication from a regulator indicates this should be removed, this market resolves YES. This includes introducing restrictions, e.g. if communication from a regulator direct that Know Your Customer identity checks are introduced, then this resolves YES.

This does not include required or requested changes to language, introduction of disclaimers or other communication/text changes that do not materially alter the functionality available to users of Manifold. This does not include changes Manifold introduces to try to achieve regulatory compliance, even ones they would otherwise prefer not to do, that do not originate in any specific communication from a regulator, e.g. if they do something because their own legal and compliance advice recommends it.

In event of Manifold Markets ceasing operations for any other reason before the closing time, this market in principle resolves N/A although difficulties performing that resolution may exist.

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