Will they find a twink androgynous enough to play Link in the upcoming Legend of Zelda movie?
Will they find a twink androgynous enough to play Link in the upcoming Legend of Zelda movie?
33
673Ṁ1018resolved Nov 16
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to my subjective judgment of the twinkiness and androgyneity of the actor selected to play Link in the upcoming Legend of Zelda movie.
Context:
I won't bet on this market.
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bought Ṁ40 YES from 21% to 30% 1y
@TiredCliche This is a good example of the kind of casting that would get me to resolve this as YES.
predictedNO 1y
@TiredCliche the AI has stopped me from creating a potential nightmare scenario. Very good, very aligned AI
@TiredCliche lol, I have never heard of a Twink, but Chamalee is the first person I thought of haha
bought Ṁ5 YES from 7% to 8% 1y
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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