Will Anthropic and OpenAI collaborate substantially on a research paper before 2025?
Will Anthropic and OpenAI collaborate substantially on a research paper before 2025?
42
1kṀ4647resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to my subjective judgment.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ426 | |
| 2 | Ṁ172 | |
| 3 | Ṁ165 | |
| 4 | Ṁ135 | |
| 5 | Ṁ104 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
By the end of 2025, will OpenAI and Anthropic merge?
2% chance
Will OpenAI fold in 2025?
3% chance
What will OpenAI do in 2025?
Will Anthropic be the best on AI safety among major AI labs at the end of 2025?
87% chance
Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?
63% chance
Will Openai announce, or perform, a test-run of their agi-collaboration clause before Dec 31st, 2025?
6% chance
Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
29% chance
Between 2024-2025, does Anthropic consume more total Adderall than OpenAI?
16% chance
Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?
53% chance
Will any member of the OpenAI board publish a paper critical of OpenAI by the end of 2028?
62% chance