Will Russia be using Starlink on the Ukraine front line in three months?
5
62
150
2025
52%
chance

Financial Times claims:

Russia using Elon Musk’s Starlink on Ukraine front line, says Kyiv

Adoption of satellite internet service by Moscow’s troops ‘systemic’,b

Resolves based on the judgement of me, or a moderator if my resolution is disputed by any single person, on the facts, likely based on credible media sources. Resolution may be early if the answer is clear and extremely unlikely (<1%) to change, or be delayed if the answer is still uncertain and likely to change.

Feel free to ask for clarifications, or for changes to the criteria in the first few days.

"In three months" is May 13, but it closes later since we might not know then.

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I mean, it just takes the hardware and a subscription right? Doesn't seem like that is a very high bar to clear.