Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus)
Basic
27
แน€5.4k
2029
25%
chance

This market will resolve YES if Letby intentionally murdered any infants and NO if not.

The market will stay open until a media consensus is reached, and be conservative about resolution. It may be a long time before it resolves.

Resolution is delegated to Manifold (the mods if there's no newer system) in the event if it is disputed or not obvious.

Get แน€1,000 play money
Sort by:

Very nervous about trading this before the inquiry, consensus now feels pretty skeptical of the convictions but that could easily change due to testimony from affected people (as irrational as that is)