Because control over a city can be difficult to resolve, this question resolves based on control of Svobody Square in central Kherson, where the Kherson Regional Administration building is located.
Resolves YES if Ukraine controls Svobody Square in central Kherson starting by the deadline in the question title, for a period of at least 7 consecutive days, according to reporting by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW). Otherwise resolves NO. Times will be in the local timezone in Ukraine.
(Other reliable media reporting may be used instead if for some reason ISW is unavailable.)
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Close date updated to 2022-12-01 11:59 pm
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ISW reports that Ukraine recaptured Kherson on Nov 11. https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-11
This will resolve YES if Ukraine continues to control Kherson for 7 days, which is almost certain.
Ukranian flag at Svobody square:
https://www.pravda.com.ua/rus/news/2022/11/11/7375943/
Guess the 7 day timer starts with the next ISW update.
According to ISW, Ukraine was advancing toward Kherson at 7 km/24 h for the 24 h period ending Nov 10th. According to the article above, civilians are already raising Ukranian flags in Kherson city center.
The Russian command announced the retreat from Kherson
https://meduza-io.translate.goog/news/2022/11/09/rossiyskoe-komandovanie-ob-yavilo-ob-otstuplenii-iz-hersona?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp
@IvanK Thanks! THere's an English report as well https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63573387
Real money market here: insightprediction.com/m/73525/will-ukraine-control-kherson-city-on-december-25th-2022