Will Trump surrender to face charges by March 31? | Manifold Markets

closes Mar 31

Will Trump surrender to face charges by March 31?

27%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if by March 31 11:59:59 ET, Trump surrenders to face any charges in any jurisdiction, as reported by reliable media publications. Otherwise NO.

Context:

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/17/trump-will-surrender-to-face-charges-if-indicted-defense-lawyer-says.html

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YES payouts

Ṁ873

Ṁ317

Ṁ41

Ṁ17

Ṁ13

Ṁ13

NO payouts

Marcus Abramovitch

Ṁ626

Ṁ233

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

Ṁ174

Ṁ154

Ṁ143

Ṁ120

Ṁ107

Ṁ54

Ṁ48

Ṁ37

Ṁ29

Ṁ26

Ṁ25

Ṁ24

Jonathan Ray bought Ṁ90 NO from 33% to 27%

John Cunningham sold Ṁ11 NO from 32% to 33%

Forrest Taylor sold Ṁ60 YES from 41% to 32%

Forrest Taylor bought Ṁ60 YES from 32% to 41%

Forrest Taylor sold Ṁ13 NO from 31% to 32%

Mark Ingraham bought Ṁ100 NO from 40% to 31%

Marcus Abramovitch bought Ṁ300 NO from 55% to 40%

James Chua bought Ṁ50 NO at 55%

Jack bought Ṁ50 NO at 55%

johnleoks bought Ṁ100 NO from 63% to 55%

johnleoks sold Ṁ101 YES from 70% to 63%

higherLEVELING sold Ṁ57 YES from 73% to 70%

Forrest Taylor bought Ṁ5 NO from 74% to 73%

Jack bought Ṁ100 YES from 68% to 74%

James Chua bought Ṁ10 NO from 70% to 68%

Tyler bought Ṁ30 NO from 75% to 70%

Devin bought Ṁ10 YES from 74% to 75%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ17 NO at 74% (cancelled)

Daniel Reeves bought Ṁ70 YES from 72% to 77%

Luca Masters bought Ṁ10 NO from 74% to 72%

JOHN ADAMS created limit order for Ṁ300 YES at 50% (cancelled)

JOHN ADAMS bought Ṁ30 YES from 72% to 74%

Malas bought Ṁ10 YES from 71% to 72%

johnleoks bought Ṁ100 YES from 59% to 71%

na pewno bought Ṁ10 NO from 61% to 59%

Kevin Lalik bought Ṁ10 NO from 64% to 61%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ18/Ṁ25 YES at 64% (cancelled)

xander bought Ṁ40 NO from 72% to 61%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ14 NO at 72% (cancelled)

Daniel Reeves bought Ṁ60 YES from 69% to 76%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ25/Ṁ28 NO at 69% (cancelled)

Daniel Reeves bought Ṁ100 YES from 64% to 77%

Ezra Schott bought Ṁ10 NO from 68% to 64%

higherLEVELING bought Ṁ5 YES from 67% to 68%

higherLEVELING created limit order for Ṁ500 YES at 50% (cancelled)

higherLEVELING created limit order for Ṁ300 YES at 56% (cancelled)

higherLEVELING bought Ṁ45 YES from 57% to 67%

John Smith bought Ṁ10 NO from 62% to 57%

Logan Turner bought Ṁ10 YES from 55% to 62%

Jack filled limit order Ṁ400/Ṁ400 YES at 55%

Al Quinn sold Ṁ21 NO from 34% to 49%

Sam Given bought Ṁ30 NO from 57% to 34%

Al Quinn bought Ṁ5 NO from 62% to 57%

Jack bought Ṁ10 YES from 54% to 62%

Al Quinn bought Ṁ10 NO from 66% to 54%

John Cunningham bought Ṁ5 NO from 72% to 66%

Martin Randall bought Ṁ10 NO from 85% to 72%

Jack bought Ṁ70 YES from 50% to 85%

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