Will there be at least 20 US bank failures in 2023-2024?
15
closes 2025
7%
chance

Resolves YES if the number of US bank failures listed on https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/ during 2023 and 2024 is at least 20. Otherwise NO.

As of this question's creation, there have been 3 so far: Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Signature Bank, and First Republic Bank.

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