
Will there be at least 20 US bank failures in 2023-2024?
15
closes 2025
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ121 +1115.2%
New probability
9% +1.8%
Resolves YES if the number of US bank failures listed on https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/ during 2023 and 2024 is at least 20. Otherwise NO.
As of this question's creation, there have been 3 so far: Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Signature Bank, and First Republic Bank.
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