Will the Fed raise the fed funds rate by at least 50 bps in the Feb 2023 meeting?
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How much will The Fed raise the fed funds rate at their next scheduled meeting, Jan 31 - Feb 1 2023? Resolves YES if they raise the rate by at least the amount specified in the title, otherwise NO.
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"The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points, or 0.25 percentage point, as was widely expected." https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/01/live-updates-fed-rate-hike-february.html
Fed fund futures pricing imply this is 20% likely:
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html