Will the Fed raise the fed funds rate by at least 50 bps in the Feb 2023 meeting?
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How much will The Fed raise the fed funds rate at their next scheduled meeting, Jan 31 - Feb 1 2023? Resolves YES if they raise the rate by at least the amount specified in the title, otherwise NO.
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Jackbought Ṁ10,000 of NO
"The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points, or 0.25 percentage point, as was widely expected." https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/01/live-updates-fed-rate-hike-february.html
Jonathan Ray
Unemployment numbers look fantastically low and the inflation numbers aren't out yet. I'm short fed funds futures for real money (and have been since summer)
Chris Billingtonbought Ṁ30 of NO
Fed fund futures pricing imply this is 20% likely:
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
YES shares
115
113
16
16
NO shares
31,299
1,065
518
188
105
105
104
103
18
18
