Resolves YES if at any point in time, Russia takes control of Bakhmut Children's Hospital in the western part of Bakhmut, Ukraine, by May 15, 2023 according to maps provided by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

If this location is shaded red on the ISW maps, the market will resolve YES. If this area remains shaded orange or not shaded for the entire time period, resolves NO. Resolution will be based on the ISW maps dated through May 15.

The specific location used for this question is: on the ISW interactive map, the dot if you search the address Bakhmut Children's Hospital from Google Maps "улица Юбилейная, 54, Bakhmut, Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine, 84501". The shading of the map over the center of the dot when fully zoomed in will be used for resolution.

See https://manifold.markets/post/isw-ukraine-war-maps for context on how ISW maps are made, what they mean, and why ISW is a commonly considered a reliable map source.

This location is pictured below with the map as of April 15.

(Other map sources or reliable media reporting may be used instead if for some reason ISW is unavailable. In that event, the deadline will be the end of day Ukraine time.)

Related:

/jack/will-russia-control-bakhmut-by-apri