Will Nikki Haley be the 2024 Republican nominee for president?
33
165
510
resolved Mar 13
Resolved
NO

Resolves based on the winner of the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.

Details:

  • Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

  • If a candidate becomes presumptive nominee after securing a majority of pledged delegates, this market will resolve on a preliminary basis. However, if the actual nominee ends up being a different candidate than the presumptive nominee, then the resolution of the market will be changed to reflect the final nominee.

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sold Ṁ1,347 NO

Trump has secured enough delegates to be presumptive nominee (AP). Provisional resolution as per the rules in the description.

We can bet on if some surprise change happens here:

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@jack does this resolve NO now because she dropped out, or will you wait a week or two until Trump actually gets to the majority?

@DanielTilkin as per the details I will wait until Trump gets enough delegates. Anyone can unsuspend their campaign, as Marianne Williamson did