Will Trump drop out of the presidential race before the RNC?

Question

Resolves YES if Trump or his campaign officially announces he is withdrawing or suspending his campaign for 2024 US President, by the end of the last day of the Republican National Convention (scheduled for July 18). Any circumstances that force his withdrawal (e.g. death) count as YES as well. Otherwise resolves NO.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jul 22, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.