Resolves YES if my wife gets Covid in the next couple weeks (as determined by test results) conditional on us taking moderate precautions to avoid transmission. The sort of precautions I'm roughly thinking of:

- Reducing contact by 90% - mostly staying to separate rooms, but not completely isolating, and not trying super hard to avoid going into shared spaces

- Me wearing a mask 90% of the time when in shared spaces - N95 or P100 (with filtered exhalations)

- Spending most of my day outdoors.

- High filtration and ventilation: I have several air purifiers running providing ~4 ACH and several window fans running probably providing another ~4 ACH (this is the same in all the conditionals).

See companion questions with other conditionals: if we isolate https://manifold.markets/jack/will-my-wife-get-covid-from-me-if-w and if we do not isolate https://manifold.markets/jack/will-my-wife-get-covid-from-me-if-w-5d3916db7dd4. Please note that we were already in close contact before my positive covid test and before my symptoms really started, and I think I was already highly infectious at that point.

Related questions: https://manifold.markets/group/jacks-personal-covid-questions/questions

My Covid timeline: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18_4eASH4NEuq2r1LyB7OQiWnbom1tf-WVISSaf0eork/edit#gid=0

Close date updated to 2022-07-20 11:59 pm