Will my wife get Covid from me, if we isolate from each other?
20
300Ṁ703
resolved Jul 6
Resolved
N/A
Resolves YES if my wife gets Covid in the next couple weeks (as determined by test results) conditional on us isolating from each other. (It's slightly possible she'd get it from some other source, but most of the probability mass is from me.) Resolves N/A if we do not isolate from each other. I just got Covid on 6/30. I was traveling until 6/30 so we were not together when I was exposed/infected, but were together when I become symptomatic/infectious. See companion question with the other conditional: https://manifold.markets/jack/will-my-wife-get-covid-from-me-if-w-5d3916db7dd4 Both of us are vaxxed and boosted with Pfizer/Moderna. Please note that we were already in close contact before my positive covid test and before my symptoms really started, and I think I was already highly infectious at that point. This question is conditional on us isolating from each other starting today.
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