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MANIFOLD
Will more House Democrats or Republicans vote for a CR to avoid government shutdown?
9
Ṁ295Ṁ2.2k
resolved Nov 15
100%99.2%
CR passes with more Democratic votes
0.7%
CR passes with more Republican votes
0.1%
No CR passes by November 17 (end of day ET)

If the US House passes a Continuing Resolution to avoid government shutdown by end of day November 17 (ET), will it get more Republican or Democratic votes?

Context: The previous CR passed with more Democratic votes, despite the House being controlled by Republicans.

Details:

  • If there is an exact tie, both of the CR passes options resolve to 50%.

  • This market is only about House votes, not Senate.

  • Only a Continuing Resolution will count. If no CR is passed but final appropriations bill(s) sufficient to avert shutdown are passed, resolves N/A.

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resolves to democrats