Will Kalshi have a market on the 2024 elections?
11
370
210
Nov 8
8%
chance

Resolves YES if Kalshi has a market on the outcome of any of the following 2024 US federal elections:

  • Presidential election

  • Specific Congressional races (House or Senate)

  • Congressional control (House or Senate)

The market must exist before election day, November 8 (ET). Resolves YES if the market exists at any point, even if it is later removed.

For background, Kalshi's proposal to create these markets is currently being reviewed by the CFTC: https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2023/06/24/cftc-kicks-off-review-of-kalshis-congressional-control-prediction-markets/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

They previously applied for election markets in 2022 and were denied: https://manifold.markets/SG/will-kalshi-receive-regulatory-appr

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predicts NO

What if they create a Manifold market for it?

bought Ṁ50 of NO

https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8780-23

CFTC Disapproves KalshiEX LLC’s Congressional Control Contracts