Will Instacart IPO in 2022?
61%
chance
Jan 1, 2023
M$127 bet
Resolves YES if in 2022 Instacart goes public. Going public may include IPO, direct listing, SPAC, etc. Followup to https://manifold.markets/jack/will-instacart-file-to-ipo-in-2022 Instacart just filed confidentially for IPO. Confidential filing means they don't need to file a public S-1 until just 3 weeks before IPO, and they have flexibility on whether and when to IPO. Background on a confidential filing for IPO: https://www.forbes.com/sites/sergeiklebnikov/2020/08/25/heres-why-more-companies-are-filing-confidential-ipo-paperwork/?sh=6bbddee56e68 for News on Instacart's confidential filing for IPO: - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-12/instacart-is-said-to-file-confidentially-for-an-ipo-in-us - https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/11/business/instacart-takes-a-big-step-toward-a-public-offering.html Context: Instacart is one of the 10 most valuable startups according to https://www.cbinsights.com/research-unicorn-companies, but cut its valuation 40% from $39B to $24B amidst the recent tech selloff, which has seen an especially heavy decline in companies like Instacart which were lifted by pandemic-fueled growth that is now slowing.