Will Chinese military ships enter Taiwan's territorial waters in August? (Potential response to Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan)
18
100Ṁ1331
resolved Sep 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if multiple reliable media publications report that Chinese military ships entered Taiwan's territorial waters (extending 12 nautical miles from its coastline) in August.

Chinese aircraft entering Taiwan's territorial airspace will have no bearing on a positive resolution of this market (see https://manifold.markets/jack/will-chinese-military-aircraft-ente for a question about that)

Background:

China sends warships to surround Taiwan amid Pelosi visit

Experts raised alarms over the exercise, with some noting that the drills would overlap with Taiwan’s territorial waters. M. Taylor Fravel, director of the MIT Security Studies Program, said the drills appear to be “unprecedented,” noting that they would be “the largest number of exercises to be conducted very close to the island of Taiwan itself, and the first to take place on all sides surrounding Taiwan.

~ https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/02/pelosi-lands-in-taiwan-00049234

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ347
2Ṁ22
3Ṁ4
4Ṁ3
5Ṁ2
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy