Resolves YES if in 2023, reliable media publications report that China has provided lethal aid (weapons, ammunition, etc) to Russia. Otherwise NO.
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Jackis predicting YES at 65%
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/03/16/chinese-rifles-body-armor-russia-ukraine-00087398
Chinese companies, including one connected to the government in Beijing, have sent Russian entities 1,000 assault rifles and other equipment that could be used for military purposes, including drone parts and body armor, according to trade and customs data obtained by POLITICO.
The shipments took place between June and December 2022
Since that was in 2022 it doesn't count towards this question, but if they made such shipments in 2023 that seems like it would count.
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