Will "Ceasefire" get more write-in votes than Biden, Phillips, or Williamson in the New Hampshire Democratic primary?
27
490Ṁ59k
resolved Jan 26
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if in the 2024 Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire, there are more votes cast for "ceasefire" than for any one of Joe Biden, Dean Phillips, or Marianne Williamson, according to reliable media reports. Otherwise NO. (To be clear, that means if "ceasefire" gets more votes than Williamson but fewer than Philips, for example, that's a YES.)

Resolves NO if there are no reliable media reports on the subject. Resolves N/A if it is unclear, and there are reliable media reports that state uncertainty about whether this criteria is satisfied.

Context: https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/18/politics/new-hampshire-biden-write-in-campaign/index.html

Biden did not register for the New Hampshire ballot following an internal party dispute over the date of the primary and the Democratic National Committee’s decision that the election effectively won’t count. 

That’s left the state’s Democratic establishment trying to spread the word about an unofficial campaign to write in Biden’s name

there’s also a last-minute effort encouraging voters to write in “ceasefire” as a protest against Biden from the pro-Palestinian wing of the party.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ61
2Ṁ51
3Ṁ49
4Ṁ30
5Ṁ24
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy