Will another Speaker of the House be elected this term?
17
350Ṁ12k
resolved Oct 25
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if the 118th US Congress elects another Speaker of the House. Otherwise, resolves NO when the term ends.

Unelected or temporary Speakers (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore) will not count toward resolution.

Context: The House may empower the temporary Speaker Pro Tempore if they are unable to elect a permanent Speaker - see https://manifold.markets/jack/will-the-house-empower-mchenry-as-t

Will the House empower McHenry as temporary Speaker?
66% chance. Resolves YES if the House grants the power to oversee the passage of legislation to Speaker Pro Tempore Patrick McHenry (R-NC), before the election of a permanent Speaker of the House. Otherwise NO. Context: https://www.axios.com/2023/10/18/speaker-house-mchenry-jordan-gop Any other speaker pro tempore does not count for this market. (Standard rule for my markets: the resolution does not depend on the close date. The close date may be extended as necessary.)
🇺🇸 US Politics
118th Congress
Speaker of the House election
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