Will a room-temperature atmospheric pressure semiconductor be in a commercially available smartphone before 2025?
49
resolved Aug 11
Yes
No
Just a poll, you don't win or lose any mana on this. Vote what you think the answer is!
PSA: This is about "semiconductors" not potential roomtemperature superconductors like LK-99. See comments for more info!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a top brand smartphone feature a room temperature superconductor before 2027?
3% chance
Will consumer electronics feature room temperature ambient pressure superconductors before 2025?
3% chance
Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030?
8% chance
[Metaculus] Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?
7% chance
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
8% chance
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2040?
56% chance
Will a top brand smartphone feature an aqueous battery before 2028?
10% chance
Will we have a superconductor at room-temperature and pressure by end of 2030?
14% chance
Will a top brand smartphone feature a DeepMind crystal material before 2028?
20% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2026?
4% chance