Resolves YES if a Republican wins the Arizona Senate seat in 2024. Resolves NO if an independent or Democrat wins.

Background:

Arizona Senator Kyrsten Sinema just announced she is switching her party registration from Democrat to independent: https://www.politico.com/news/2022/12/09/sinema-arizona-senate-independent-00073216

Her current term ends in 2024, and has not said whether she is running for reelection.

Fine print: This question refers to the Senate seat up for reelection in 2024. If the other Arizona senate seat also comes up for a special election in 2024 for any reason, that has no bearing on this question.