Who will be the Republican VP nominee on election day 2024? (Trump's running mate)
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54
Ṁ28k
resolved Nov 5
100%99.1%
JD Vance
0.1%
Marco Rubio
0.1%
Doug Burgum
0.1%
Tim Scott
0.1%
Elise Stefanik
0.1%
Ben Carson
0.1%
Glenn Youngkin
0.2%
Nikki Haley
0.1%Other

Resolves to the Republican Party's nominee for Vice President as of November 5, 2024 (election day).

Inspired by: https://manifold.markets/Sat/will-trump-change-his-vp-pick

Context: JD Vance has already been selected as the VP nominee at the RNC, but it is possible for that nomination to change (e.g. if he decides or is forced to withdraw). There is speculation that Trump may be second-guessing his VP pick.

Fine print: The phrase "(Trump's running mate)" in the title is purely to help provide context and has no bearing on the resolution. For example, if Trump is not the Republican candidate on election day, this market still resolves to the Republican VP candidate.

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sold Ṁ140 JD Vance NO

@jbca At this point even if he dies he’ll still be on most of the ballots, so the dream is over.

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bought Ṁ50 Other YES

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