Will global zero-dose children fall below 13 million in 2026?
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In 2025, WHO and UNICEF estimated that 13.5 million children globally were “zero-dose,” operationally defined as children who did not receive a first dose of a DTP-containing vaccine (DTP1).
This market resolves YES if the WHO/UNICEF Estimates of National Immunization Coverage (WUENIC) estimate fewer than 13.0 million zero-dose children globally for calendar year 2026. Otherwise, it resolves NO.
Resolution will use the 2026 WUENIC estimates when published. If the estimate is exactly 13.0 million, the market resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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