Will @LexFridman get a Trustworthy (ish) badge in 2023?
resolved Jun 12


Jan 31, 7:53pm: Will Manifold user @LexFridman get a Trustworthy (ish) badge in 2023? → Will @LexFridman get a Trustworthy (ish) badge in 2023?

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So I think I've figured out how @itsTomekK works, you just have to get 5 different people to DM him on twitter about the market, then he'll finally stop wasting time and resolve the market instead of keeping it open to bonus farm.

predicted NO
bought Ṁ15,000 of YES

Okay @itsTomekK , I think this can resolve now. By going on the profile @LexFridman which is linked in the description we can clearly see that it has the badge.

There is no reason to extend the resolution.

This has been a great market, thanks to everyone that participated ❤

bought Ṁ0 of YES


No way Tomek falls for the "immediate resolution" tactic here

predicted YES

@Gen hahahaha

predicted YES


predicted YES

fyi: I'm not falling for an immediate resolution here

bought Ṁ2,000 of YES

@itsTomekK Sorry, why can’t this resolve? He seems to have the badge.

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

@itsTomekK The market title and description isn't even about Lex Fridman, the public figure, it's about @LexFridman, the account. The account got the badge, why would it not resolve? Even if the API key got leaked or something and the person controlling the account is not Lex, the account still has the badge.

predicted YES

@itsTomekK This makes no sense. Why can't the market resolve now?

predicted YES

@itsTomekK I absolutely agree with the comments above.
If your intention was to predict on the public figure getting the Trustworthy-ish badge, you should've state so in the market description, yet you only mention the manifold user.

predicted NO

@itsTomekK Rushing for a resolution given all the unanswered questions seems irresponsible at best. Better to wait for all the information to come out, we have the rest of the year after all 😃

predicted NO

@NamesAreHard Just a warning to be careful, this isn't a done deal yet and sadly you were likely manipulated by the scam. There's a reason the market creator hasn't resolved the market yet, even though he has clearly been active.

bought Ṁ20 of NO

@levifinkelstein yes, I think it's prudent to wait for definitive evidence to come out. There are several markets already on the legitimacy of that account

predicted YES

@levifinkelstein Lol, I have you blocked but I saw Mira's comment on the live feed. This market has very clear resolution criteria which have already been met. We have the account linked in the title, in the description and even shown in a screenshot in the description. This account has already been given the badge and whether it actually belongs to Lex or not doesn't have anything to do with the market.

predicted YES

@Mira legitimate or not, the @LexFridman account that is mentioned both in the description and in the title "got" the Trustworthy-ish badge. There was absolutely no clause in this market talking about this being the actual public figure. So in all of the future possible universes, the badge that we witnessed and that will be forever on GitHub resolves this market YES.

While I still do advocate for being prudent in other markets, that are on the legitimacy of this account, it is absurd to practice this empty lawyering here.

predicted NO

@NamesAreHard Lol, you're ignoring all the arguments and falling for the scam... 😂

Stop feeding this troll

bought Ṁ0 of YES

That wasn't the real trustworthy badge, it's the version for celebrities, so sadly it doens't count towards a YES resolution.

Also this is NOT confirmed to be Lex at all and is most likely a fake, likely with a similar looking gmail, which is the reason he refuses to prove it in any way. Don't fall for the scam...

predicted YES

@levifinkelstein good try, Levi 🤦🙄

predicted NO

@MayMeta You're literally falling for the scam... 🤦

sold Ṁ0 of NO

Totally meaningless now

bought Ṁ10,000 of YES

resolves YES

bought Ṁ10,000 of YES
sold Ṁ699 of YES

JIC the badge will be removed for some reason:

"id": "P81KOfdLrSec2u0KxAe1oUhkpzA2",

"createdTime": 1674977363533,

"name": "Lex Fridman",

"username": "LexFridman",

"url": "https://manifold.markets/LexFridman",

"avatarUrl": "https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6jymtI6zvHtNa_ImzdL4i8AUWPtXpCQJTYPb8mWHM=s96-c",

"balance": 954.2134860407514,

"totalDeposits": 1243.429951690818,

"profitCached": {

"monthly": 80.5322610329109,

"daily": 84.92617562866664,

"allTime": 257.9264215072094,

"weekly": 84.21097564447672


"isBot": false,

"isAdmin": false,

"isTrustworthy": true, <----------------------

"followerCountCached": 71,

"lastBetTime": 1686244125641