War in Ukraine: Will Russia lose 250,000 troops by the end of 2023? | Manifold Markets

War in Ukraine: Will Russia lose 250,000 troops by the end of 2023?

33

closes Dec 31

75%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Ukraine's Armed Forces estimate Russia's losses daily, which is published by Kyiv Independent.

This market will resolve based on these estimations as of January 1, 2024 - or the nearest available date.

https://www.instagram.com/kyivindependent_official/

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Unlikely, support was withdrawn for Wagner. Of course ukraines claim can be anything.

Tomek K 🟡is predicting NO at 57%

Tomek K 🟡is predicting NO at 76%

Tomek K 🟡bought Ṁ10 of NO

Alex Paton bought Ṁ25 YES from 74% to 75%

humblestumble bought Ṁ30 YES from 72% to 74%

Pip Foweraker bought Ṁ10 YES at 72%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ51/Ṁ100 YES at 72% (cancelled) 🤖

Checkt aschu bought Ṁ30 NO from 73% to 70%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ100 NO at 73% (cancelled) 🤖

David Kochanov bought Ṁ150 YES from 68% to 75%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ83/Ṁ100 YES at 68% (cancelled) 🤖

Cyruz 126 bought Ṁ100 NO from 74% to 63%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 74% 🤖

Cyruz 126 bought Ṁ100 NO from 81% to 70%

Remi vise la mire bought Ṁ100 YES from 78% to 81%

Ramble bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

boks bought Ṁ50 YES from 76% to 78%

Schwabilismus created limit order for Ṁ100 YES at 50% (cancelled)

Five lidz sold Ṁ17 NO from 74% to 76%

Checkt aschu bought Ṁ10 NO from 75% to 74%

Five lidz bought Ṁ40 NO from 81% to 75%

HMYS_BOT_3000 bought Ṁ1 NO at 81%

David Kochanov bought Ṁ50 YES from 79% to 81%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ17/Ṁ17 NO at 79% (cancelled)

David Kochanov bought Ṁ150 YES from 76% to 81%

nickten sold Ṁ109 YES from 80% to 76%

nickten filled limit order Ṁ109/Ṁ200 YES at 80% (cancelled)

Kongo Landwalker created limit order for Ṁ10 YES at 60%

First Last bought Ṁ10 YES from 75% to 76%

Last man sitting bought Ṁ10 YES at 75%

Josiah Evans bought Ṁ10 YES from 74% to 75%

Alex... filled limit order Ṁ357/Ṁ357 YES at 74%

Cyruz 126 bought Ṁ80 NO from 37% to 29%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ21 YES at 37% (cancelled)

Cyruz 126 bought Ṁ100 NO from 46% to 34%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ22/Ṁ27 YES at 46% (cancelled)

Cyruz 126 bought Ṁ95 NO from 56% to 42%

Cyruz 126 bought Ṁ10 NO from 58% to 56%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 NO at 75%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 44%

Birger bought Ṁ20 YES from 55% to 58%

hbkk bought Ṁ10 NO from 57% to 55%

Jf P bought Ṁ5 YES from 56% to 57%

brp bought Ṁ10 YES from 54% to 56%

Lars Doucet bought Ṁ10 YES from 52% to 54%

Max Payne bought Ṁ10 YES from 49% to 52%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ8 YES at 49% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 YES at 47% (cancelled)

David Kochanov sold Ṁ36 YES from 56% to 45%

MARLON MAY bought Ṁ10 YES from 53% to 56%

Elspeth sold Ṁ11 YES from 56% to 53%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 YES at 56% (cancelled)

Florian Sander bought Ṁ10 NO from 59% to 55%

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Will Russia mobilize at least 100k more soldiers before the end of 2023?73%

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