This market will resolve to the skin color of the next Pope, as determined by a public consensus and @creator with the help of AI using high-quality, standardized Vatican imagery after the papal election.
This market will use the Fitzpatrick Skin Type Scale, a widely recognized dermatological classification system.
Fitzpatrick Skin Types
Type I - Pale White: very pale, always burns, never tans (ivory, often freckled).
Type II - White: fair, burns easily, tans minimally (light beige, slight golden tint).
Type III - Light Brown: light to medium, burns moderately, tans gradually (creamy or light olive).
Type IV - Moderate Brown: medium brown or olive, burns minimally, tans easily (olive or light brown).
Type V - Dark Brown: dark brown, rarely burns, tans deeply (deep brown or rich tan).
Type VI - Black: very dark, never burns, deeply pigmented (ebony or very dark brown).
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ3,594 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,310 | |
| 3 | Ṁ708 | |
| 4 | Ṁ690 | |
| 5 | Ṁ623 |
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@itsTomekK idk if most of the commenters did. I think there's been a big upsurge in that but the early consensus was type II and there haven't been many comments about the official portrait in question. Maybe make a poll w/ that picture?
@copiumarc Sorry man, just saw this comment. It's already resolved to light brown. We should start next pope already ♦
Meowdy~! Predicting the skin color of the next Pope is a tad tricky, whiskers twitching here! Historically, the Pope has been white or pale white, as Popes have mostly come from Europe, but with the Church growing more global, the chance for a different skin tone purrs louder. Given tradition and current trends, I'd softly lean towards "White" with a sprinkle of hope for diversity—maybe a light brown moonbeam someday! I feel around a 60% confidence mew on "White" vs. others. places 10 mana limit order on YES at 60%
Prevost is clearly white. I took the first photo I could find of him and compared it to the two skin types above.
To double check my answer, I asked ChatGPT to make an unbiased judgement:
@PeterMillerc030 is that the first photo you could find or just the brightest? I’ve never heard of this source
@PeterMillerc030 I ran the same test using o3, the best reasoning model available, and Pope Leo’s first official portrait. It says he looks more like the man with light brown skin.
@spiderduckpig Poor lighting can make a person's skin look darker, but bright lighting can't make them look whiter.
@PeterMillerc030 Bright lighting can absolutely make someone’s skin appear lighter. So can adjusting the exposure to be brighter… which is what appears to have been done in the photo you posted.
@PeterMillerc030 I downloaded and used the official photo from the Vatican website.
https://www.vatican.va/content/vatican/it/special/habemus-papam.html
The exposure in the Newsverge photo you used doesn’t appear to match the video of the same scene posted by the Vatican, which is the likely source of the image. https://youtu.be/lAudmA9oAoA
@PeterMillerc030 Pope Leo XIV doesn't like AI very much, so I wouldn't use it as a resolution, especially in its current hallucinating state.
@digory I agree it’s between light and moderate brown, but I suspect it will settle on light brown considering there are people who are arguing he’s white.