Will QACI alignment affect p(doom) more than 5%? | Manifold

Will QACI alignment affect p(doom) more than 5%?

4

110Ṁ693

2223

3%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://carado.moe/narrative-explanation-qaci.html

a narrative explanation of the QACI alignment plan

a bunch of people are having a hard time understanding my question-answer counterfactual interval (QACI) alignment proposal, so i'm writing out this post which hopefully explains it better. in this scenario, cindy the human user uses an AI implementing of QACI to save the world.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will p(doom) be meaningfully (>3%) affected by alignment researchers choosing to walk rather than run from ptA to ptB?

Will QACI turn out to be a viable alignment plan?

Will Alex Zhu meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 2%?

Will davidad meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

Will agent foundations [eg Scott Garrabrant] end up affecting p(doom) more than 5%?

Will MIRI meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 5%?

Will the VC 50 Years meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3?

Will janus/@repligate meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 5%?

Will manifold markets meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

Will Jose Luis Ricon meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

Related questions

Will p(doom) be meaningfully (>3%) affected by alignment researchers choosing to walk rather than run from ptA to ptB?

Will QACI turn out to be a viable alignment plan?

Will Alex Zhu meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 2%?

Will davidad meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

Will agent foundations [eg Scott Garrabrant] end up affecting p(doom) more than 5%?

Will MIRI meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 5%?

Will the VC 50 Years meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3?

Will janus/@repligate meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 5%?

Will manifold markets meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

Will Jose Luis Ricon meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules