Will He Jiankui and Cathy Tie still be married by EOY2030?
4
100Ṁ722031
68%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Points against:
He has recently become increasingly unhinged
On a physical level, she is vastly out of his league by conventional standards, on Aella's attractiveness scales I'd estimate he's a 4 while she's an 8
Points in favour:
She is a zealous follower of the same techno-accelerationist philosophy and might be similarly unhinged
Honestly it could go either way, but for now I'm happy for him
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Chris Lakin have a family by EOY 2032
50% chance
Will two people who first meet in person at Manifest 2024 be married by EOY 2025?
43% chance
Will Sichu Lu get someone pregnant by EOY2031?
38% chance
Will Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan publicly announce their separation or divorce before January 1, 2026?
6% chance
Will Patrick Hsu (@pdhsu) get a family by EOY 2030?
50% chance
Will chris (strutheo) get girl pregnant by EOY2029?
58% chance
Will Nick Cammarata have kids by EOY 2033?
61% chance
Will my friends Eliot and Serene still be married in 10 years from now?
90% chance
Will Qiaochu Yuan and Brian Basham ever talk again by EOY 2026?
50% chance
Will Qiaochu Yuan find a girlfriend by EOY 2024?
2% chance