Will avg rate of change of US debt(as % of current debt)have higher YoY increase during Trump's presidency than Biden's?
Will avg rate of change of US debt(as % of current debt)have higher YoY increase during Trump's presidency than Biden's?
1
100Ṁ302029
63%
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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