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Will Aubrey de Grey get AIDS by 2035
3
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10%
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https://www.cdc.gov/hiv/group/age/diagnoses.html says only ~2700 people are diagnosed with HIV in the USA (which I assume comes with AIDS) every year, so ~30k people of this age will get it by 2035. But also the USA has over 50M people in this age group overall, which suggests the chance is <0.1%.
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