Is RLHF good for AI safety? [resolves to poll]

Will AI lead to an S-risk by 2100?

ML researchers’ median probability of existential risk from AI

Will a parrot explain the risk from AI before 2026?

In 2050, will the general consensus among experts be that the concern over AI risk in the 2020s was justified?

Is the nature of AI risk completely misunderstood today with respect to the state of the art in 2030?

In 2025, what % of EA lists "AI risk" as their top cause?

By 2028, will I believe that contemporary AIs are aligned (posing no existential risk)?

In 2030, will we think FLI's 6 month pause open letter helped or harmed our AI x-risk chances?

If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?