When will OpenAI release their next open-weight LLM model? | Manifold

When will OpenAI release their next open-weight LLM model?

2

275Ṁ130

2031

July 26, 2027

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

9%

August-December 2025

11%

January-April 2026

11%

May-August 2026

11%

September-December 2026

11%

January-June 2027

11%

July-December 2027

11%

January-June 2028

11%

July-December 2028

11%

2029

4%

2030 or Later (Never)

Resolves to the UTC calendar date when OpenAI next publishes an open‑weight LLM model(chattable language model, with instruction tuning, with or without multimodal), after the release of gpt-oss-20b and gpt-oss-120b on 2025.8.5.

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Related questions

Will OpenAI release another open source LLM before end of 2026?

When will OpenAI release their next open-source language model?

Will OpenAI offer a model that updates its weights while running during 2025?

Will OpenAI release next-generation models with varying capabilities and sizes?

When will OpenAI release a robotics model?

How much time will pass between an LLM being released that beats GPT4 and the next OpenAI LLM being released? (+ANSWERS)

Will the next major LLM by OpenAI use a new tokenizer?

Will a flagship (>60T training bytes) open-weights LLM from Meta which doesn't use a tokenizer be released in 2025?

Will Meta ever deploy its best LLM without releasing its model weights up through AGI?

Which High-risk threshold as defined by OpenAI will be reached first by an LLM, whether or not that LLM is released?

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