OpenAI announces 1B MAU or 1B WAU first?
15
1kṀ2267Dec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
25%
>=1B Monthly Active Users
70%
>=1B Weekly Active Users
5%
Neither before EOY 2026
If they announce both at the same time resolves 50% to mau and 50% to wau.
If they announce 1.1B MAU, resolves to 1B MAU. Similarly, if they announce 1.5B WAU, resolves to 1B WAU
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
OpenAI weekly active users by end of 2025?
1.18
Will OpenAI be valued at $600B by mid-2026?
87% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
97% chance
When will OpenAI achieve the capacity to produce 1 gigawatt of AI infrastructure weekly?
2042
In what year will OpenAI have a $1 Trillion market cap?
How much revenue will OpenAI earn in 2026?
Will OpenAI raise $100b
88% chance
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
People are also trading
Related questions
OpenAI weekly active users by end of 2025?
1.18
Will OpenAI be valued at $600B by mid-2026?
87% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
97% chance
When will OpenAI achieve the capacity to produce 1 gigawatt of AI infrastructure weekly?
2042
In what year will OpenAI have a $1 Trillion market cap?
How much revenue will OpenAI earn in 2026?
Will OpenAI raise $100b
88% chance
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?