What topics on Manifold will have at least 500 DAU at end of January 2025?
17
17kṀ94k
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
YES
Politics
Resolved
YES
US Politics
Resolved
NO
AI
Resolved
NO
🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture
Resolved
NO
Sports
Resolved
NO
Esports
Resolved
NO
Elon Musk
Resolved
NO
Crypto
Resolved
NO
Economics
Resolved
NO
Technology
Resolved
NO
NBA
Resolved
NO
NFL
Resolved
NO
Trump
Resolved
NO
Trump's Second Term
Resolved
NO
Republican Party
Resolved
NO
2024 US Presidential Election
Resolved
NO
Cycling

I just created a new graph that shows daily active users by topic at https://manifold.markets/stats. It only shows topics with at least 50 active users. I will resolve YES any topic that has at least 500 DAUs in the last week of january.

I will not resolve YES to any tag that is a mispelling or otherwise basically the same tag as another, more popular tag in an attempt to manipulate this market. For example, someone creates a tag called 'Political markets' in the last week and attaches it to some markets that deliver it 500 DAUs. In that case the we'll just merge the tag with Politics.

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