What % of new markets will be created in the next month compared to the previous month?
10
100Ṁ154
resolved Aug 15
Resolved as
52%
Jun 23, 2:08pm: What is the % of markets impact to removing free daily markets? Jun 23, 2:09pm: conditional on free markets not returning Jun 29, 4:41pm: I'll soon be adding other ways to earn bonus M$ so I think I should probably resolve this market based on extrapolating the rate of market creation before the bonuses are added.
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predictedNO

@ian any update on resolution here? :)

predictedYES

@MattP @ian Looks like final resolution should be 675/1284 = 52%

@wasabipesto This is a great system because it ended the spam and rewarded the rentiers (like me).

Projected 6/24-7/23 numbers are now at 567/1284 = 44%
After running some numbers, the previous month (5/24-6/23) had 1284 markets created (1034 free + 250 paid). This month (6/24-7/23) has had 32 so far, extrapolating to the end gives us ~350. This gives us around 27%, so take that how you will.
predictedNO
@wasabipesto the real number is closer to 90%. Only four markets created in past 24 hours.
predictedYES
@wasabipesto These are great stats, tipped you!
I also just made a similar market: https://manifold.markets/jack/how-many-markets-will-be-created-ne
Depends on if the free markets are back or not. If not, 90% drop.
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